edge. · Best PrizePicks Bets This Week

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🔍

The best bets this week.

PrizePicks plays across basketball, baseball, women's basketball, and golf — picked using real numbers, not vibes.

PICKS

RECORD

HOW TO WIN

HOT PLAYERS

Thu

5 picks

Fri

9 picks

Sat

3 picks

Sun

4 picks

Mon

3 picks

Tue

2 picks

Wed

TBD

Tonight · Thu May 14

⛳ PGA Round 1 begins · ⚾ MLB

71%

Avg Chance

⛳ Golf· PGA Championship · Round 1

Scottie Scheffler

OVER3.5 Birdies (Round 1)

5 birdies per round — best in golf Defending champ at this event Tees off 2:05 PM ET

74%

Win Chance

⛳ Golf· PGA Championship · Round 1

Scottie Scheffler

UNDER71.5 Strokes (Round 1)

Lowest scoring average in golf Even his worst round avg = 70.3

72%

Win Chance

⛳ Golf· PGA Championship · Round 1

Rory McIlroy

OVER3.5 Birdies (Round 1)

2nd-best birdie average in golf Going for his 7th major

68%

Win Chance

⛳ Golf· PGA Championship · Round 1

Xander Schauffele

OVER2.5 Birdies (Round 1)

+1600 to win whole tournament Last year's champ

67%

Win Chance

⚾ MLB· Tonight's slate

Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)

OVER1.5 Total Bases

Gets on base 42% vs righties Hot all week

66%

Win Chance

Fri May 15 · Biggest Day

⛳ PGA Round 2 (cut day) + 🏀 NBA Game 6s + ⚾ MLB

70%

Avg Chance

⛳ Golf· PGA Championship · Round 2

Scottie Scheffler

UNDER70.5 Strokes (Round 2)

6th-best Round 2 avg in golf Best overall scorer on tour

75%

Win Chance

🏀 NBA· Detroit @ Cleveland · Game 6 · 7:00 PM ET

Cade Cunningham

OVER27.5 Points

Dropped 39 in Game 5 loss Lose this = season over Averaging 26 in series

71%

Win Chance

⛳ Golf· PGA Championship · Round 2

Xander Schauffele

OVER3 Birdies (Round 2)

+1600 to win it all Plays great in big tournaments

70%

Win Chance

🏀 NBA· Detroit @ Cleveland · Game 6

Donovan Mitchell

OVER25.5 Points

21 pts in ONE quarter last series Home court

68%

Win Chance

🏀 NBA· Detroit @ Cleveland · Game 6

James Harden

OVER6.5 Assists

30 pts / 6 ast in Game 5 Playmaker mode on

68%

Win Chance

🏀 NBA· San Antonio @ Minnesota · Game 6

Victor Wembanyama

OVER22.5 Points

27 pts / 17 rebs / 5 ast / 3 blks last game Closeout opportunity

67%

Win Chance

🏀 NBA· San Antonio @ Minnesota · Game 6

Anthony Edwards

OVER27.5 Points

Must-win = gets ball more 26 ppg this year

65%

Win Chance

⛳ Golf· PGA Championship · Make the Cut

Cameron Young

YESMake the Cut

Odds dropped 25-1 → 14-1 People betting him heavy

66%

Win Chance

⚾ MLB· LA Dodgers vs Mets

Shohei Ohtani

OVER1.5 Total Bases

.420 OBP vs righties Stays hot

66%

Win Chance

Sat May 16 · Big Golf Day

⛳ PGA Round 3 (where leaders separate) · ⚾ MLB

72%

Avg Chance

⛳ Golf· PGA Championship · Round 3

Scottie Scheffler

UNDER69.5 Strokes (Round 3)

#1 in golf at Round 3 scoring Pick of the week

76%

Win Chance

⛳ Golf· PGA Championship · Round 3

Scottie Scheffler

YESTop 5 After Round 3

6 top-10s in 9 starts Won 3 of last 6

72%

Win Chance

⛳ Golf· PGA Championship · Round 3

Rory McIlroy

UNDER70.5 Strokes (Round 3)

3rd-best scorer in golf Best when chasing

68%

Win Chance

Sun May 17 · Showcase Day

⛳ PGA Final · 🏀 WNBA on NBC · ⚾ MLB

72%

Avg Chance

⛳ Golf· PGA Championship · Final

Scottie Scheffler

YESTop 5 Finish

#1 in golf at Sunday scoring Defending champ

77%

Win Chance

🏀 WNBA· LV vs CHI · NBC · 12 PT

A'ja Wilson

OVER22.5 Points

Top MVP favorite 35% usage projected

72%

Win Chance

🏀 WNBA· IND game · NBC primetime

Caitlin Clark

OVER7.5 Assists

#2 MVP favorite Bounce-back spot

70%

Win Chance

🏀 WNBA· IND game

Kelsey Mitchell

OVER17.5 Points

30 pts in opener Fever need scoring

69%

Win Chance

Mon May 18

🏀 WNBA · ⚾ MLB

68%

Avg Chance

🏀 WNBA· NY game

Breanna Stewart

OVER21.5 Points

31/10/3 blks in opener All-WNBA 5x

71%

Win Chance

🏀 WNBA· DAL game

Paige Bueckers

OVER17.5 Points

20 pts in WNBA debut DAL beat IND

68%

Win Chance

🏀 WNBA· DAL game

Arike Ogunbowale

OVER19.5 Points

22 pts in opener DAL top scorer

66%

Win Chance

Tue May 19 · Conf Finals

🏀 NBA East / West Finals starting · ⚾ MLB

71%

Avg Chance

🏀 NBA· Eastern Finals · Game 1 · NYK

Jalen Brunson

OVER25.5 Points

Knicks swept Philly to get here Has ball 1/3 of time

72%

Win Chance

🏀 NBA· Western Finals · Game 1 · OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OVER29.5 Points

35 pts in series high OKC 8-0 in playoffs

70%

Win Chance

Wed May 20

Picks will appear here as games are scheduled

TBD

Picks

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How we pick these

Every Win Chance % comes from blending these 6 things:

40%How often the player hit this number in their last 10 games

20%How often they hit it in their last 20 games

15%Who they're playing — opponent strength and game speed

10%How often the player gets the ball / touches

10%Are they hot or cold right now (last 5 vs last 20)

5%Injuries that help them (teammate out = more shots)

All-Time Win Rate

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The 8 Rules to Win Over Time

Boring stuff that actually works. Skip these = lose.

Rules

Pick 2 or 3 players per ticket. That's it.

6-player tickets win less than 2% of the time. With 3 players, you can still cash even if one misses.

Only bet 1–3% of your money per ticket.

If you have $100, your ticket should be $1–$3. No exceptions. One bad night with a big bet wipes you out.

Bet the underrated guys, not the stars.

MLB strikeouts and WNBA props are the easiest to win. Lines on hyped NBA stars are too tight.

Take the easier line, not the bigger payout.

Goblins = lower line, smaller payout, higher win chance. Demons = bigger payout but lower chance. Pick Goblins every time at 75%+.

Don't pick 2 players from the same game.

PrizePicks already knows when two things tend to happen together. They pay you less when you stack them.

Write down every bet you make.

Date, player, line, your pick, result. No log = no edge. You won't know if you're actually winning.

Down 10% this week? Stop.

Walk away. "Just one more to break even" = how you go broke. Tomorrow is a new day.

Don't bet what everyone else is betting.

If everyone's picking the same guy, the line already moved. Find what nobody's talking about.

⛳ Golf · PGA Championship

🏆

Scottie Scheffler

5 birdies/round (#1 in golf) · Lowest scoring avg · Defending champ

🍀

Rory McIlroy

2nd-best birdie avg · Chasing 7th major

⭐

Xander Schauffele

+1600 to win · Plays great in big tournaments

🎯

Cameron Young

Odds dropped 25-1 → 14-1

⚾ Baseball · Hottest Pitchers

⚡

Paul Skenes (Pittsburgh)

ERA down to 1.98 · 10 Ks in 8 IP last start

🔥

Parker Messick (Cleveland)

Strikes out 28% of batters · 7 Ks last start

🎯

Bryan Woo (Seattle)

9 strikeouts / 6 innings vs Atlanta

💥

Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)

.420 OBP vs righties

🏀 Basketball · Playoff Stars

🔥

Cade Cunningham

39 pts in Game 5 · Must-win Friday

⭐

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

35 pt series high · OKC 8-0 in playoffs

🦅

Victor Wembanyama

27 / 17 / 5 / 3 last game

🧔

James Harden

30 pts in Game 5 · OT win

👑

Jalen Brunson

Knicks swept Philly

🐺

Anthony Edwards

26 ppg · Must-win Game 6 Fri

🏀 WNBA · Week 1 Stars

👑

A'ja Wilson (Las Vegas)

Top MVP favorite · Could be her 5th

🔥

Breanna Stewart (NY)

31 / 10 / 3 blks opener

⭐

Caitlin Clark (Indiana)

2nd MVP favorite

💎

Paige Bueckers (Dallas)

20 in WNBA debut

⚡

Arike Ogunbowale (Dallas)

22 pts in opener · DAL top scorer

🎯

Kelsey Mitchell (Indiana)

30 pts in opener